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Articles
Jun 14, 2022
IATA optimistic on air cargo despite current challenges
With our long history and strong presence in the expedited airfreight market, we note that IATA has expressed optimism that the air cargo market will begin to improve in the months ahead, despite the current market challenges.
In its latest market update, IATA said that air cargo demand dropped by 11.2% year on year in April, while cargo load factors slipped by 5.2 percentage points on a year ago to 51.6%, and capacity was down by 2%.
The fall in demand is the largest since August 2020 and load factors are at their lowest level since February 2020, although still above pre-Covid levels.
The airline association said that the drop in demand was fuelled by the war in Ukraine leading to a fall in cargo capacity used to serve Europe as several airlines based in Russia and Ukraine were key cargo players.
Meanwhile, China’s zero-Covid policy and associated lockdowns led to capacity challenges due to flight cancellations because of labour shortages.
“Global goods trade has continued to decline in 2022, with China’s economy growing more slowly because of Covid-19 related lockdowns (among other factors),” IATA said.
“The lockdowns have brought much of the world’s largest port, Shanghai, to a standstill. Supply chain disruptions due to the Ukraine-Russia conflict are also adding to the downward pressure on trade.”
New export orders, a leading indicator of cargo demand and world trade are now shrinking in all markets except the US, the association added.
Despite the challenging conditions, IATA director general Willie Walsh sounded a note of optimism.
“The combination of the war in Ukraine and Covid-19 lockdowns in China have pushed up energy costs, intensified supply chain disruptions, and fed inflation,” Walsh said.
“The operating environment is challenging for all businesses, including air cargo. But with China easing lockdown restrictions, there is cause for some optimism and the supply/demand imbalance is keeping yields high.”
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